A Methodology to Forecast Peak Spreading

Project No: 98770

Target Completion Date: April 16, 2012 Environment, Planning, and Economics

About the project:

As traffic congestion increases, the duration of the morning, afternoon or noontime “rush hour,” when traffic volume is at its highest, also increases. This phenomenon is known as “peak spreading.” It can be measured through the use of a K factor – the proportion of 24-hour volume that occurs during the peak hour.

This research will develop an approach to forecast the extent of this peak spreading for urban locations, starting with VDOT’s Northern Virginia District as a case study. Such forecasts will be based not only on predicted volume characteristics but also socioeconomic data. Ways of describing peak spreading besides the K factor may be considered

Project Team

Principal Investigators

Last updated: July 5, 2023

Alert Icon

Please note that this file is not ADA compliant. Choose one of below options: